Hurricane Eta in the Gulf. Secondary US Landfall Likely Later This Week

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LITTLE ROCK , AR – 7 AM WEDNESDAY UPDATE– Tropical Storm Eta has made landfall on Lower Matecumbe Key Florida at 11pm EST Sunday night. The maximum sustained winds were 65 mph. This is also the 12th tropical system to make landfall in the U.S. this year. This is the second landfall for Eta, which also made landfall as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 mph last Tuesday south of Puerto Cabezas, Nicaragua. Eta is the 28th named storm of the season – tying the record for most named storms in a single season set back in 2005

Eta is now moving slowly through the Southeast Gulf of Mexico as a 75 mph Category 1 hurricane. Further strengthening of the tropical system is not likely. The combination of dry mid-level air, strong wind shear and cooler water temperatures will all contribute to Eta losing strength later in the week.

Computer guidance has been very inconsistent with Eta, with a big split in model guidance. This morning, though, the models are in better agreement about the general path of Eta over the next few days. Eta will likely track northeast into Florida due to a strong, deep circulation that is picked up by an upper air trough and approaching cold front.

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