Rain and storms return to the forecast Thursday. Some storms could be strong to severe later in the day Thursday through early Friday. Wind and hail are the primary threats. Some flash flooding will be possible with heavy rain. The tornado risk very low at this time, but is something the Arkansas Storm Team is monitoring closely.

Temperatures are expected to make it into the 80s Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon, as humidity slowly starts to rise. This will give us the fuel for strong storms before our next cold front arrives.

As of Tuesday, much of the state is under a level 2 risk for severe weather for Thursday. A level 1 risk covers much of the rest of the state except far northwest Arkansas.

SPC outlook for Thursday

Latest model data shows showers and storms developing during the afternoon hours in western Arkansas. These storms will continue to push eastward across the state Thursday evening and night.

Storms develop over west Arkansas first, before tracking farther east into central Arkansas late afternoon/early evening and lingering into Thursday night for east Arkansas.

Damaging wind gusts look to be the primary threat with this next severe weather risk. Large hail will also be possible. The tornado risk is currently very low, however, a quick spin-up or two cannot be ruled out.

Severe risk gauge for Thursday

There will be pockets of moderate to heavy rain, so localized flooding will be possible. Little Rock could see 2″+ of total rainfall Thursday through Friday.

Widespread rainfall totals are forecast at 1-3″ from Thursday through Friday.

The risk for severe weather looks to stay to our south on Friday thanks to the front stalling to our south. Some rain and general thunderstorms will be possible throughout the day.

SPC Outlook for Friday

Stay with the Arkansas Storm Team for continued updates on our next severe weather chance.

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The Arkansas Storm Team is a collaboration of two stations to bring you the largest weather team in the state when covering Arkansas weather.