FRIDAY AFTERNOON UPDATE:
We’ll be watching for storms to come out of Oklahoma this afternoon into Northwest Arkansas which could be strong to severe. These storms will likely keep moving through North Arkansas through the evening and even into Central Arkansas in the late evening hours. Although the Severe Risk from the Natioanl Weather Service Storm Prediciton Center is “Marginal” or 5%, we should not let our guard down. Stay Weather Aware.
Check out these HRRR forecasted time stamps.
FRIDAY MORNING UPDATE:
Severe Weather will be possible late Friday afternoon and evening first in West Arkansas and then perhaps into Central Arkansas late this evening.
The forecast from the Storm Prediction Center doesn’t even give a 2% probability of tornadoes in Arkansas today. That being said, never say, “never.”
What the Storm Prediction Center is forecasting a risk for is damaging wind and some hail from storms that are expected to come out of Oklahoma this evening.
Overall the highest threat will be the flooding threat. Much of Central Arkansas is now included in an expanded Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM, Saturday. The time period of the watch may need to be extended.
THURSDAY EVENING UPDATE: After a wild weather Thursday afternoon across central and northeast Arkansas with two confirmed EF0 tornadoes so far (Sherwood-Gibson and just west of Cabot), expect a quiet night across the area.
While there is a MARGINAL (5%) risk of severe weather in southwest Arkansas tomorrow for the possibility of damaging winds and large hail, widespread severe weather isn’t expected elsewhere across the state.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop Friday and continue into Saturday with the potential for more heavy rain.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH is in effect through Saturday morning for western Arkansas where the heaviest rain has occurred over the past few days. A dry weather pattern is expected Sunday and Monday before the next round of showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rain, begins moving in by late Tuesday. Rainfall total through next Thursday is likely to be in the 5-6″ range along the I30 corridor from Texarkana to Little Rock with 2-4″ expected over much of the rest of the state.