No Severe Threat, Just Isolated Storms Today, Wednesday June 12

Local News
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3 PM, Wednesday Update:

    The Storm Prediction Center has removed the marginal risk of severe weather out of Arkansas Wednesday afternoon. Isolated showers and storms will still be possible throughout the afternoon to evening hours, however severe potential is minimal. The cold front that will be responsible for the development of a few showers/storms will likely clear the state by 10 p.m, leaving calm conditions behind. 

6 AM, Wednesday Update:

     A cold front sweeping through Arkansas today will bring isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms.  Since, the overall humidity is low, there just won’t be a lot of activity.  However, with sufficient instability this afternoon, any storm that develops could become severe with a chance of hail and gusty wind.  Everything will quieten down by 10 PM. 

9 PM, Tuesday Update:

     Isolated severe storms will be possible Wednesday as a cold front moves into the state, popping up rain and some storms. 

     A few showers may develop in the northwest corner of the state during the late morning hours, with more rain/storms popping up during the afternoon across north and possibly central Arkansas. 

     The severe weather risk has not changed since 1 PM this afternoon. Read below for the severe risk area and threats. 

1 PM, Tuesday Update:

     The 1 PM Update from the Storm Prediction Center decreases the extent of the 5% or marginal risk of severe weather for Wednesday.  Here is their newest Outlook map. 

     The mode, timing, and extent of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow has not changed.  Details on all that are in the original post below.

        KARK 4 News, Your Weather Authority, and the Arkansas Storm Team will keep you ahead of any storm.  Stay Weather Aware.

Original Post 10 AM, Tuesday:

     While the chance of rain Wednesday is not very high, any thunderstorm that develops Wednesday will not have too difficult of a time becoming severe.

     As a cold front moves into Arkansas around Noon Wednesday, isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop.  Ahead of the front temps will approach the low 80s.  At the same time, temperatures aloft will drop.  The warm surface air and the colder upper air will create an atmosphere somewhat unstable in the Ozarks and probably to a lesser extent in Central and South Arkansas.  That unstable atmosphere will allow a few thunderstorms to become severe.  It appears that large hail is our main concern Wednesday afternoon and early Wednesday evening. 

     The Storm Prediction Center gives much of Arkansas an overall 5% probability of severe weather happening within 25 miles of any place.  

     The SPC’s breakdown of the risks per each severe weather event is as follows:  Tornado – 2%  Wind – 5%  Hail – 5%.

     KARK 4 News, Your Weather Authority, and the Arkansas Storm Team will keep you ahead of any storm.  Stay Weather Aware.

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