LITTLE ROCK, Ark. –8:30 PM Update– Our forecast thoughts have remained unchanged with regard to the severe weather potential for tonight. Thunderstorm activity with the severe threat potential will exist through 2 AM. The greatest risk area is the northeast 1/4 of the state.
If a storm does turn severe, very large hail ( ~2 inches in diameter or larger) and damaging wind gusts ( ~60 mph or higher) would be the primary threats. The tornado risk is low, however, any individualized storm cells that form ahead of the front will have the best potential to rotate.
As we continue past 2 AM, a few thunderstorms will be possible in central and eastern Arkansas but the severe weather threat is very low as ingredients for development will be much less.
*** This type of weather pattern is very conditional. We will have ingredients in place for storms to become severe but there is one element that could keep thunderstorms from firing off all together. That element is called a cap. If the cap holds, thunderstorms may be weaker or not even develop at all. This will be watched tonight. ***
As these storms are forecast to come in overnight, it is very important to have multiple ways to receive warnings that will wake you up if you’re sleeping when a warning is issued. We recommend having a NOAA Weather Radio, the Arkansas Storm Team App for mobile devices and staying alert by watching KARK 4 News.
The Arkansas Storm Team will be watching the development of these storms very closely and activating if the situation worsens and warrants cutting into regular programming. There will also be live stream coverage on kark.com.
Stay weather aware! Learn more about the forecast by watching the latest video forecast update, click here.