Little Rock, Ark. – Friday, 8 AM Update: The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked a large part of Arkansas for a threat of severe weather Friday night through early Saturday morning. A 45% probability or “Moderate Risk” is forecasted for the southern half of Arkansas including Little Rock. A strong storm system and associated cold front will blast through Arkansas bringing widespread rain, possibly heavy, and strong to severe thunderstorms. The highest severe weather threat will be damaging wind and possibly even very strong destructive winds of 70 mph or higher in South AR. That’s the area indicated with the hatched lines.
The tornado threat is highest across the southern half of Arkansas too. The hatched lines within that 10% and 15% probability zone indicates EF-2 or higher tornadoes will be possible.
As with most severe storms there is a risk of large hail. The risk is minimal in Arkansas, but higher in Oklahoma and Texas.
Rainfall totals of 2-5″ are likely most of Arkansas. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued for Friday afternoon through Saturday morning. Most of the state will see the Flash Flood Watch expire at 6 AM, Saturday. Far East Arkansas will have the Flash Flood Watch until Noon, Saturday.
Additionally, as cold air moves into the state, some of the rain could end as a wintry mix or period of wet snow across parts of northwest. Stay weather aware late this week and into early this weekend.